After a sad, rainy autumn, winter has finally come to Switzerland. And it's not only me who is happy that at least now I can clearly define what season it is...Happier than me are the hotel managers who, despite the financial crisis, have their hotels fully booked for the Christmas - New Year time frame.
So, how can this be explained?
I have two arguments for this:
1) Most of the bookings for the Christmas- New Year timeframe were made well in advance, that is in July - August, when the crisis didn't seem so grim. Added to this, I have a secondary cultural explanation for this behavior. As most of the tourists are Germanic, which have an increase need for planning in advance, they wanted to make sure that they have secured well in advance every detail of their winter holiday.
2) The impact of the crisis on the individual people comes with a delay of a few months - this means that the demand for vacations will decrease for spring and summer holidays which are to be booked now or until December.
How come this delay?
It is part of a vicious circle, which starts with the scarcity of money and loans, which negatively affect the growth needs of the businesses. What is more, as people decrease their spending and increase savings in the expectation of bad times, the demand for products and thus the industrial production decreases. This leads to a decrease in the business activity, in shrinking capacity and temporary layoffs.
To conclude, the tourism business will notice the effects of the crisis and recessionary period starting with the end of this year.
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